U.S. Treasury yield curves have normalized after prolonged inversion, with the 2s/10s and 3-Month/10-Year constructs now turning positive. Federal Reserve rate cuts and a macro narrative shifting ...

A key indicator of a recession flashed a warning light two years ago. That metric once had a perfect record, but there hasn't been a crash yet. Our colleagues at The Indicator From Planet Money, ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

SANTA ANA, Calif. — Consumers and corporate chieftains alike should check an economic flare the bond market sent up on Tuesday. Traders on Tuesday demanded higher yields on U.S. Treasury bonds ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest... Can the yield curve still predict recessions? Two years ...

The 10-year Treasury yield passed below that of the 3-month note in Wednesday trading. In market lingo, that's known as an "inverted yield curve," and it's had a sterling prediction record. While ...

Shorter-term US Treasury yields have fallen, while yields on longer-dated bonds could remain elevated, thanks to the threat of higher inflation and investor concerns surrounding the federal deficit.

Treasury yields are the annual returns on debt obligations by the U.S. government. Treasury prices and yields are inversely related; higher demand increases prices and leads to lower yields. An upward ...