In a blog post published on January 16, economists Benjamin Böninghausen and Andreea Liliana Vladu look to disaggregate the surging borrowing costs of eurozone governments at the longer end of the ...
There’s nothing I’d rather do to celebrate my 47th birthday than write about the yield curve. 🙂 While the Fed’s rate moves—cuts or hikes—often explain the curve’s shifts, the yield curve itself has ...
The steepening yield curve in 2025 signals a potential new market cycle, not an imminent recession, defying traditional economic models. Small cap earnings growth is projected at 19% versus 12% for ...
Yields on shorter-term Treasurys were rising on Monday relative to what rates on longer-term maturities were doing — translating into a bear flattening of the yield curve, which is often negative for ...
I still remember back in 2006, when the curve inverted ahead of the financial crisis. Hardly anyone outside of bankers, economists, hardcore investors and bond traders knew what it meant. But by 2008, ...
My last analysis on AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) was published on 7.17 under a title of "AGNC Investment: 2 Reasons To Bet Against Wall Street”. That article focused on the sentiment change from Wall ...