The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...

Two years ago, the yield curve inverted. That means short-term interest rates on Treasury bonds were unusually higher than long-term interest rates. When that's happened in the past, a recession has ...

U.S. Treasury yield curves have normalized after prolonged inversion, with the 2s/10s and 3-Month/10-Year constructs now turning positive. Federal Reserve rate cuts and a macro narrative shifting ...

For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...

The inverted yield curve normalizes … what it means for recession timing … how stocks perform in a recession … volatility is your friend So, are we going to get a recession or not? As we noted in ...

Decades of investment history surrounding Fed policy pivots from rate stasis to rate cutting show that cutting has rarely been bullish for equities if the cuts came in the wake of yield curve ...

The relationship between the 10- and 2-year Treasury yield briefly normalized Wednesday, reversing a classic recession indicator. Following economic news that showed a sharp decline in job openings ...