The inverted Bund yields continued this week with the negative 2-year/10-year yield spread at negative 42.2 basis points. As a result, today’s simulation shows that the probability of negative spreads ...

The most likely range for 3-month bill yields in 10 years remained in the 0% to 1% range. The probability of being in this range is only 0.02% higher than the probability of the 1% to 2% range.

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

David Harper is the CEO and founder of Bionic Turtle. He is also a published author with a popular YouTube channel on expert finance topics. Almost regardless of your view about the predictability or ...